Specialisation and mega deals set to define market in 2026

Firms are bifurcating towards either serving large private equity-backed deals or looking at more niche specialist concerns in order to stand out in a competitive market.

For years now, the big fund managers have been getting bigger and the direct lending market has becoming tightly competitive, dominated by a handful of major players. This is expected to continue in 2026, perhaps even stepping up a gear, but we’ve also seen smaller managers break through as the market becomes more divided.